Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

7,251–7,300

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
7251	FAIRVIEW AT REDSTONE VILLAGE	0.1%	52.1	A	AL	HUNTSVILLE	56	GREENBRIER SENIOR LIVING LLC
7252	Complete Care at Ridgewood LLC	0.1%	52.1	B	WI	RACINE	200	PEACE CAPITAL LLC
7253	Adept Nursing & Rehab of South Sioux City	0.1%	52.1	C	NE	South Sioux City	72	BRASS NE TRUST
7254	CHATEAU D'VILLE REHAB AND RETIREMENT	0.1%	52.1	C	LA	DONALDSONVILLE	141	PRIORITY MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
7255	GATEWAY HEALTH AND REHAB	0.1%	52.1	C	GA	CLEVELAND	60	EMPLOYEE STOCK OWNERSHIP PLAN OF SELECT HEALTH CARE INC TRUST
7256	DIVERSICARE OF COUNCIL GROVE	0.1%	52.1	B	KS	COUNCIL GROVE	60	DAC ACQUISITION LLC
7257	BRIA OF GENEVA	0.1%	52.1	C	IL	GENEVA	107	WHEAT CHAFF LP
7258	Scottish Pines Rehabilitation and Nursing Center	0.1%	52.1	A	NC	Laurinburg	149	CENTURY CARE MANAGEMENT INC
7259	Grantsbrook Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	52.1	B	NC	Grantsboro	96	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
7260	SENATOBIA HEALTHCARE & REHAB	0.1%	52.1	B	MS	SENATOBIA	106	—
7261	OSAGE NURSING & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	52.1	B	KS	OSAGE CITY	53	AMERICARE SYSTEMS INC
7262	LEGACY HEALTH AND REHABILITATION OF PLEASANT GROVE	0.1%	52.1	A	AL	PLEASANT GROVE	189	JAMES NORMAN ESTES JR TR
7263	CHATTANOOGA HEALTH AND REHAB CENTER	0.1%	52.1	D	TN	CHATTANOOGA	127	VHS HOLDCO LLC
7264	HERITAGE HALL-BLACKSTONE	0.1%	52.1	C	VA	BLACKSTONE	180	AMERICAN HEALTHCARE LLC
7265	VILLAGE AT VICTORY LAKES, THE	0.1%	52.1	D	IL	LINDENHURST	120	FRANCISCAN SISTERS OF CHICAGO SERVICES CORPORATION
7266	FRESH RIVER HEALTHCARE	0.1%	52.1	A	CT	EAST WINDSOR	140	GLOBAL WORLD INVESTORS
7267	THE MAPLES AT HAR-BER MEADOWS	0.1%	52.1	B	AR	SPRINGDALE	140	RHC OPERATIONS INC
7268	RIVER CROSSING REHAB AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	52.1	C	MO	SAINT LOUIS	120	AMA HOLDINGS LLC
7269	SYCAMORE CARE STRATEGIES	0.1%	52.1	D	IN	LOOGOOTEE	56	PULASKI MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
7270	Avir at Seguin	0.1%	52.1	C	TX	SEGUIN	0	GUADALUPE COUNTY HOSPITAL BOARD
7271	SABETHA MANOR	0.1%	52.1	B	KS	SABETHA	40	AMERICARE SYSTEMS INC
7272	TIMBERLYN HEIGHTS NURSING AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	52.1	A	MA	GREAT BARRINGTON	71	BEAR MOUNTAIN HEALTHCARE LLC
7273	Langley Post Acute	0.1%	52.1	B	VA	HAMPTON	70	GEORGE S MITCHELL JR RVOC TR
7274	RESORTS AT POOLER INC	0.1%	52.1	C	GA	POOLER	122	—
7275	HUBBLE CREEK	0.1%	52.1	F	MO	JACKSON	105	PARADIGM REHAB SERVICES LLC
7276	COLUMBUS HEALTH AND REHAB	0.1%	52.1	C	WI	COLUMBUS	50	BARRES LLC
7277	Village Health Care Center	0.1%	52.1	C	OK	Broken Arrow	90	—
7278	Liberty Commons Nursing & Rehabilitation Center of	0.1%	52.1	B	NC	Burlington	122	LIBERTY LONG TERM CARE LLC
7279	PALATINE NURSING HOME	0.1%	52.1	B	NY	PALATINE BRIDGE	70	—
7280	SOLIDAGO HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	52.1	B	TX	TEXAS CITY	0	LIBERTY COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT NO 1
7281	Chestnut Ridge Health & Rehabilitation	0.1%	52.1	C	KY	Louisville	92	JML 1836 HOLDINGS LLC
7282	BEECHTREE CENTER FOR REHABILITATION AND NURSING	0.1%	52.1	C	NY	ITHACA	120	—
7283	PARKWAY PAVILION HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	52.1	B	CT	ENFIELD	130	WACHUSETT VENTURES LLC
7284	CYPRESS GROVE POST ACUTE	0.1%	52.1	B	TN	JACKSON	170	LINKS HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
7285	APERION CARE KOKOMO	0.1%	52.1	F	IN	KOKOMO	105	ATIED ASSOCIATES LLC
7286	MI CASITA NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	52.1	D	TX	LUBBOCK	0	HANSFORD COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
7287	LANGDON PLACE OF DOVER	0.1%	52.1	A	NH	DOVER	30	603 HEALTHCARE LLC
7288	BROOKDALE SANTA CATALINA	0.1%	52.1	A	AZ	TUCSON	42	BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC
7289	Maple Woods Manor	0.1%	52.1	A	MI	Clio	151	PEPLINKSI HOLDINGS INC
7290	LEGACY AT JACKSONVILLE	0.1%	52.1	B	TX	JACKSONVILLE	0	—
7291	HERITAGE HALL NURSING CENTER	0.1%	52.1	C	MO	CENTRALIA	60	AMERICARE SYSTEMS INC
7292	WAYNE CENTER FOR NURSING & REHABILITATION	0.1%	52.1	B	NY	BRONX	243	ISAAC E GOLDBRENNER ESTATE
7293	CHESTERTON MANOR	0.1%	52.1	B	IN	CHESTERTON	100	ADAMS COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
7294	ACCOLADE HEALTHCARE DANVILLE	0.1%	52.1	C	IL	DANVILLE	108	—
7295	Mineola Gardens Wellness & Rehabilitation	0.1%	52.1	C	TX	MINEOLA	0	STRATFORD HOSPITAL DISTRICT
7296	LOGAN ELM HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	52.1	A	OH	CIRCLEVILLE	99	NURSING CARE MANAGEMENT OF AMERICA
7297	BRIGHTON PLACE NORTH	0.1%	52.1	C	KS	TOPEKA	34	—
7298	Edith Lane of Cincinnati	0.1%	52.1	C	OH	CINCINNATI	167	—
7299	STERLING PLACE HEALTHCARE & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	52.1	A	LA	BATON ROUGE	144	QSST TRUST FOR MARSHALL TODD QUIRK
7300	THE GRAND REHABILITATION AND NURSING AT SOUTH POIN	0.1%	52.1	C	NY	ISLAND PARK	185	—

Showing 7,251–7,300 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.