Ownership-change pipeline

CHOW Radar

p(change of ownership, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

16,900

active SNFs, scored

Model

p_chow_12m v0.1

deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

49.6%

of actual next-12m sales on holdout

Base rate

2.4%

observed 12m CHOW rate, training panels

Ranked by sale probability

7,651–7,700

#	Facility	p(CHOW 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
7651	VERNON MANOR	0.5%	54.5	B	WI	VIROQUA	80	—
7652	Laporte City Specialty Care	0.5%	54.5	A	IA	La Porte City	46	CARE INITIATIVES
7653	Presbyterian Home Of SC - Foothills	0.5%	54.5	A	SC	Easley	22	PRESBYTERIAN COMMUNITIES OF SOUTH CAROLINA
7654	TEXHOMA CHRISTIAN CARE CENTER INC	0.5%	54.5	A	TX	WICHITA FALLS	0	OLNEY HAMILTON HOSPITAL DISTRICT
7655	AVAMERE BELLINGHAM HEALTH CARE & REHAB SERVICES	0.5%	54.5	C	WA	BELLINGHAM	84	—
7656	LEHIGH VALLEY HOSPITAL TSU	0.5%	54.5	A	PA	ALLENTOWN	52	JEFFERSON HEALTH CORPORATION
7657	HOOVERWOOD	0.5%	54.5	A	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	155	HANCOCK REGIONAL HOSPITAL
7658	OTTAWA CO RIVERVIEW NURSING HO	0.5%	54.5	B	OH	OAK HARBOR	115	CONCEPT REHAB INC
7659	EVENTIDE JAMESTOWN	0.5%	54.5	A	ND	JAMESTOWN	79	EVENTIDE
7660	BALDWIN CARE CENTER	0.5%	54.5	A	WI	BALDWIN	50	—
7661	Southern Hills Specialty Care	0.5%	54.5	C	IA	Osceola	90	CARE INITIATIVES
7662	OREGON VETERANS HOME	0.5%	54.5	A	OR	THE DALLES	151	WESTCARE MANAGEMENT INC
7663	STODDARD BAPTIST NURSING HOME	0.5%	54.5	D	DC	WASHINGTON	164	—
7664	Ridgewood Specialty Care	0.5%	54.5	A	IA	Ottumwa	60	CARE INITIATIVES
7665	PARKVIEW HAVEN	0.5%	54.5	B	IN	FRANCESVILLE	42	PULASKI MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
7666	RIVERSIDE LIFELONG H & R WARWICK FOREST	0.5%	54.5	C	VA	NEWPORT NEWS	209	RIVERSIDE HEALTHCARE ASSOCIATION INC
7667	GLENWOOD VILLAGE CARE CENTER	0.5%	54.5	A	MN	GLENWOOD	64	KNUTE NELSON
7668	Meadow Brook Medical Care Facility	0.5%	54.5	A	MI	Bellaire	133	—
7669	New Richland Care Center	0.5%	54.5	A	MN	NEW RICHLAND	45	—
7670	New Horizons Care Center	0.5%	54.5	A	WY	Lovell	85	NORTH BIG HORN HOSPITAL DISTRICT
7671	POMPANO HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.5%	54.5	B	FL	POMPANO BEACH	127	CONSULTING SUPPORT SERVICES LLC
7672	NewBridge on the Charles Skilled Nursing Facility	0.5%	54.5	C	MA	DEDHAM	48	HEBREW SENIORLIFE INC
7673	SANDSTONE HEIGHTS	0.5%	54.5	A	KS	LITTLE RIVER	36	—
7674	LAKESIDE NEUROLOGIC	0.5%	54.5	F	FL	WAUCHULA	25	—
7675	GUNDERSEN TRI-COUNTY CARE CENTER	0.5%	54.5	—	WI	WHITEHALL	12	—
7676	TRAVERSE CARE CENTER	0.5%	54.5	B	MN	WHEATON	44	—
7677	SOUTHWEST MEDICAL CENTER SNF	0.5%	54.5	B	KS	LIBERAL	18	—
7678	BOULDER CITY HOSPITAL SNF	0.5%	54.5	A	NV	BOULDER CITY	47	—
7679	SOUTH MOUNTAIN RESTORATION CEN	0.5%	54.5	A	PA	SOUTH MOUNTAIN	159	—
7680	Odd Fellow Home	0.5%	54.5	C	WI	Green Bay	88	—
7681	LIFEQUEST NURSING CENTER	0.5%	54.5	B	PA	QUAKERTOWN	140	PLEXUS GROUP INC
7682	PARKSIDE HOMES	0.5%	54.5	C	KS	HILLSBORO	50	—
7683	CHENEY CARE CENTER	0.5%	54.5	C	WA	CHENEY	54	—
7684	ATRIUM AT NAVESINK HARBOR, THE	0.5%	54.5	A	NJ	RED BANK	43	SPRINGPOINT SENIOR LIVING INC
7685	CROCKETT COUNTY CARE CENTER	0.5%	54.5	A	TX	OZONA	50	—
7686	CHINESE HOSPITAL D/P SNF	0.5%	54.5	A	CA	SAN FRANCISCO	23	—
7687	SANFORD HILLSBORO CARE CENTER	0.5%	54.5	A	ND	HILLSBORO	34	SANFORD
7688	CASTLE PEAK SENIOR LIFE AND REHABILITATION	0.5%	54.3	C	CO	EAGLE	44	CASSIA
7689	Brookefield Park	0.5%	54.3	B	NE	ST Paul	70	VETTER SENIOR LIVING
7690	PROVIDENCE PLACE AT GLENCROFT	0.5%	54.3	A	AZ	GLENDALE	225	—
7691	HARDIN HILLS HEALTH CENTER	0.5%	54.3	B	OH	KENTON	70	—
7692	WICHITA PRESBYTERIAN MANOR	0.5%	54.3	A	KS	WICHITA	50	PRESBYTERIAN MANORS OF MID AMERICA INC
7693	GREEN ACRES HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.5%	54.3	A	GA	MILLEDGEVILLE	98	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
7694	MACNEAL HOSPITAL SNF	0.5%	54.3	—	IL	BERWYN	25	—
7695	Bradbury Commons	0.5%	54.3	D	OK	PONCA CITY	68	ASCENSION HEALTH SENIOR CARE
7696	HUGHES HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.5%	54.3	C	CT	WEST HARTFORD	170	—
7697	Wicomico Nursing Home	0.5%	54.3	C	MD	SALISBURY	102	—
7698	Boundary Waters Care Center	0.5%	54.3	A	MN	ELY	42	—
7699	FAIR HAVEN SHELBY COUNTY	0.5%	54.3	A	OH	SIDNEY	90	—
7700	Parham Health Care & Rehab Center	0.5%	54.3	C	VA	RICHMOND	180	CHARLES 1994 FAMILY GRANTOR TRUST

Showing 7,651–7,700 of 16,900 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.