Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

8,301–8,350

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
8301	FOREST CITY NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	0.1%	44.6	C	PA	FOREST CITY	132	LME FAMILY HOLDINGS LLC
8302	CASS VALLEY HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	B	TX	CENTERVILLE	0	LIBERTY COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT NO 1
8303	THE HAMPTONS CENTER FOR REHABILITATION AND NURSING	0.1%	44.6	F	NY	SOUTH HAMPTON	280	—
8304	RIVERVIEW POST ACUTE	0.1%	44.6	A	OH	SOUTH POINT	100	DMD MANAGEMENT INC
8305	Valley Oaks Post Acute	0.1%	44.6	A	CA	Santa Maria	59	—
8306	ASTORIA HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	44.6	B	FL	WINTER HAVEN	132	TENDER LOVING CARE MANAGEMENT INC
8307	ABBYSHIRE PLACE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER L	0.1%	44.6	B	OH	BIDWELL	95	OPTUM MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS INC
8308	TRUCARE LIVING CENTERS-COLUMBUS	0.1%	44.6	C	TX	COLUMBUS	0	FANNIN COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
8309	KESWICK MULTI-CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	A	MD	BALTIMORE	242	UNIDINE CORPORATION
8310	MCCORMICK'S CREEK REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE	0.1%	44.6	B	IN	SPENCER	87	MAJOR HOSPITAL
8311	West View Nursing Home, Inc	0.1%	44.6	B	RI	West Warwick	120	EDEN HEALTHCARE LLC
8312	South Valley Care Center LLC	0.1%	44.6	A	NM	Albuquerque	58	—
8313	MORRISON WOODS HEALTH CAMPUS	0.1%	44.6	B	IN	MUNCIE	68	HANCOCK REGIONAL HOSPITAL
8314	YORKVIEW NURSING AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	44.6	C	PA	YORK	270	SUMMATION FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC
8315	Stonehenge of Ogden	0.1%	44.6	A	UT	Washington Terrace	52	KANE COUNTY HUMAN RESOURCE SPECIAL SERVICE DISTRICT
8316	GARDENA CONVALESCENT CENTER	0.1%	44.6	C	CA	GARDENA	74	—
8317	Homestead of Hugo	0.1%	44.6	D	OK	Hugo	124	BGM ESTATE LLC
8318	ALL AMERICAN VLGE NRSG & RHB	0.1%	44.6	B	IL	CHICAGO	144	WISSATI IRREVOCABLE TRUST
8319	SHAFTER NURSING CARE	0.1%	44.6	B	CA	SHAFTER	99	—
8320	HARBORVIEW HEALTH SYSTEMS JESUP	0.1%	44.6	A	GA	JESUP	90	HARBORVIEW HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
8321	Signature Healthcare at Summerfield Rehab & Wellne	0.1%	44.6	D	KY	Louisville	165	WHEATEN LLC
8322	CALCUTTA HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	B	OH	CALCUTTA	97	JCTH HOLDINGS INC
8323	Bradford Square Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	44.6	C	KY	Frankfort	100	ENCORE INVESTORS LLC
8324	MILLER'S MERRY MANOR	0.1%	44.6	B	IN	WALKERTON	107	JOHNSON MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
8325	LAKEVIEW REHABILITATION & HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	D	TX	WINNSBORO	0	WEST WHARTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
8326	GIDEON CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	A	MO	GIDEON	72	PARADIGM REHAB SERVICES LLC
8327	SAPPHIRE NURSING AND REHAB AT GOSHEN	0.1%	44.6	C	NY	GOSHEN	24	—
8328	August Healthcare at Richmond	0.1%	44.6	B	VA	RICHMOND	32	—
8329	CEDAR HAVEN HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	D	PA	LEBANON	324	—
8330	MAPLEWOOD HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	D	TN	JACKSON	160	PHILIPSON FAMILY LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY LLC
8331	San Luis Transitional Care	0.1%	44.6	A	CA	San Luis Obispo	23	COMPASS HEALTH INC
8332	SHORE GARDENS REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.1%	44.6	B	NJ	TOMS RIVER	149	—
8333	River Valley Health And Rehabilitation Center Llc	0.1%	44.6	A	MN	REDWOOD FALLS	43	SPARTAN HEALTHCARE LLC
8334	Ebenezer Integrated Care & Rehab	0.1%	44.6	B	MN	SAINT PAUL	62	EBENEZER MANAGEMENT SERVICES INC
8335	POPLAR HILL HEALTH AND REHAB	0.1%	44.6	B	VA	WARRENTON	113	SJ HEALTHCARE CAPITAL LLC
8336	SILVER FOXES SR LIVING & REHAB	0.1%	44.6	C	IL	MCLEANSBORO	60	WLC MANAGEMENT FIRM LLC
8337	FOUR WINDS MANOR	0.1%	44.6	B	WI	VERONA	44	—
8338	SPRINGTREE REHABILITATION & HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	A	FL	SUNRISE	110	MILLENNIUM CONSOLIDATED LLC
8339	THE GUEST HOUSE SKILLED NURSING REHABILITATION	0.1%	44.6	D	LA	SHREVEPORT	177	PRIORITY MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
8340	MT ANGEL HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.1%	44.6	C	OR	MOUNT ANGEL	93	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
8341	CAPE HERITAGE REHABILITATION & HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	44.6	C	MA	SANDWICH	123	ATHENA HEALTH CARE ASSOCIATES INC
8342	FERNANDINA BEACH REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.1%	44.6	B	FL	FERNANDINA BEACH	120	QUALITY REHAB PARTNERS LLC
8343	HAMILTON PARK NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	44.6	A	NY	BROOKLYN	200	ALLURE CARE MANAGEMENT LLC
8344	SOUTHWEST MONTANA VETERANS HOME	0.1%	44.6	A	MT	BUTTE	60	EDURO HEALTHCARE LLC
8345	THREE MEADOWS POST ACUTE	0.1%	44.6	B	OH	PERRYSBURG	120	DMD MANAGEMENT INC
8346	GLENHAVEN HEALTHCARE	0.1%	44.6	B	CA	GLENDALE	52	—
8347	LANE HOUSE, THE	0.1%	44.6	B	IN	CRAWFORDSVILLE	60	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
8348	LEE'S SUMMIT PLACE	0.1%	44.6	F	MO	LEES SUMMIT	60	VHS MO OPCO HOLDINGS LLC
8349	BLAIRE HOUSE OF MILFORD	0.1%	44.6	C	MA	MILFORD	73	ESSEX GROUP INCORPORATED
8350	NORTHBROOKE POST ACUTE	0.1%	44.6	B	TN	JACKSON	120	LINKS HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC

Showing 8,301–8,350 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.