Ownership-change pipeline

CHOW Radar

p(change of ownership, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

16,900

active SNFs, scored

Model

p_chow_12m v0.1

deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

49.6%

of actual next-12m sales on holdout

Base rate

2.4%

observed 12m CHOW rate, training panels

Ranked by sale probability

2,901–2,950

#	Facility	p(CHOW 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
2901	SAN LUIS CARE CENTER	3.8%	82.8	C	CA	NEWMAN	71	RELIANT PRO REHAB LLC
2902	LA PALMA NURSING CENTER	3.8%	82.8	B	CA	ANAHEIM	72	THE BENTZION MANDELBAUM 2021 IRREVOCABLE GIFT TRUST NO 2
2903	Winship Green Center for Health & Rehab, LLC	3.8%	82.8	C	ME	Bath	72	MARVIN OSTREICHER FAMILY TRUST 2012
2904	WATSONVILLE POST ACUTE CENTER	3.8%	82.8	A	CA	WATSONVILLE	95	WHEATEN LLC
2905	RAINBOW REHAB AND HEALTHCARE	3.8%	82.8	B	TN	BARTLETT	115	B&Y TRUST
2906	BALMORAL HOME	3.8%	82.8	D	IL	CHICAGO	213	TEN CHICAGO LLC
2907	HAVEN OF TUCSON	3.8%	82.8	B	AZ	TUCSON	118	HEALTH GROUP MANAGEMENT LLC
2908	Lincolnton Rehabilitation Center	3.8%	82.8	B	NC	Lincolnton	120	SOUTHERN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
2909	BROOMALL MANOR	3.8%	82.8	A	PA	BROOMALL	114	BNV DYNASTY LLC
2910	CUPERTINO HEALTHCARE & WELLNESS CENTER	3.8%	82.8	B	CA	CUPERTINO	170	ROCKPORT ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES LLC
2911	Roseville Point Health & Wellness Center	3.8%	82.8	F	CA	Roseville	98	ROCKPORT ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES LLC
2912	OAKWOOD GARDENS CARE CENTER	3.8%	82.8	A	CA	FRESNO	103	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
2913	WOODLANDS REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	3.7%	82.7	C	MS	CLINTON	145	NEXION HEALTH INC
2914	PINE HAVEN REHABILITATION AND WELLNESS CENTER	3.7%	82.7	A	AL	EIGHT MILE	172	NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO CHILDREN
2915	Evercare of Granite City	3.7%	82.7	D	IL	GRANITE CITY	86	NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO CHILDREN
2916	WILDWOOD HEALTHCARE CENTER	3.7%	82.7	C	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	160	HANCOCK REGIONAL HOSPITAL
2917	Windsor Point Continuing Care	3.7%	82.7	A	NC	Fuquay-Varina	45	—
2918	LOGAN CENTER	3.7%	82.7	B	WV	LOGAN	66	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
2919	The Laurels of Summit Ridge	3.7%	82.7	B	NC	Asheville	68	MOHAMMAD A QAZI LIVING TRUST DATED 09 26 97
2920	Serenity Estates of Lena	3.7%	82.7	D	IL	LENA	92	—
2921	TISHOMINGO COMM LIVING CENTER	3.7%	82.7	A	MS	IUKA	73	COMMUNITY ELDERCARE SERVICES LLC
2922	MONTECITO HEIGHTS HEALTHCARE & WELLNESS CENTRE, LP	3.7%	82.6	C	CA	LOS ANGELES	90	ROCKPORT ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES LLC
2923	Hillcrest Nursing and Rehabilitation Community	3.7%	82.6	A	MI	North Muskegon	39	ATRIUM CENTERS MANAGEMENT LLC
2924	VILLAGE CARE CENTER INC	3.7%	82.6	C	MO	MARYVILLE	46	—
2925	Sanders Ridge Health Campus	3.7%	82.6	C	KY	Mount Washington	56	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
2926	CITADEL CARE CENTER-KANKAKEE	3.7%	82.6	B	IL	KANKAKEE	107	ISRAEL FAMILY INVESTMENT TRUST
2927	THE SPRINGS HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION	3.7%	82.6	C	TX	CEDAR PARK	0	FRIO HOSPITAL DISTRICT
2928	BEN HUR HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	3.7%	82.6	B	IN	CRAWFORDSVILLE	110	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
2929	AVIATA AT SANTA BARBARA	3.7%	82.6	D	FL	CAPE CORAL	120	—
2930	ATLEE HILL HEALTH AND REHAB CENTER	3.7%	82.6	C	MD	WESTMINSTER	60	LIFEBRIDGE HEALTH INC
2931	CARLISLE MANOR HEALTH CARE INC	3.7%	82.6	A	OH	CARLISLE	48	EMBASSY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
2932	Life Care Center of Wilbraham	3.7%	82.6	C	MA	WILBRAHAM	123	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
2933	The Villa at Green Lake Estates	3.7%	82.6	C	MI	Orchard Lake	85	OMNIA OPCO HOLDINGS LLC
2934	Signature Healthcare at Rockford Rehab & Wellness	3.7%	82.6	A	KY	Louisville	110	WHEATEN LLC
2935	WOODS ON FRENCH CREEK NURSING & REHAB CENTER THE	3.7%	82.6	A	OH	AVON	74	FOUNDATIONS HEALTH LLC
2936	HOMEWOOD HEALTH CAMPUS	3.7%	82.6	C	IN	LEBANON	68	TRILOGY OPCO LLC
2937	CLIVEDEN NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	3.7%	82.6	B	PA	PHILADELPHIA	180	PA OPS HOLDINGS LLC
2938	LAKE WORTH REHABILITATION CENTER	3.7%	82.6	C	FL	LAKE WORTH	120	SOUTHERN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
2939	MAJESTIC CARE OF BEDFORD	3.7%	82.6	C	IN	BEDFORD	142	COLUMBUS REGIONAL HOSPITAL
2940	MONTGOMERY NURSING & REHAB CTR	3.7%	82.6	F	IL	HILLSBORO	110	—
2941	CLOVER HEALTH CARE	3.7%	82.6	D	ME	AUBURN	109	CONTINUUM HOME SERVICES INC
2942	SUNTERRA SPRINGS SPRINGFIELD	3.7%	82.6	C	MO	SPRINGFIELD	38	BALL VENTURES LLC
2943	Karlstad Healthcare Center Inc	3.7%	82.6	A	MN	KARLSTAD	46	—
2944	ELMHAVEN EAST	3.7%	82.6	C	KS	PARSONS	45	—
2945	THE REGENCY SKILLED NURSING AND THERAPY	3.7%	82.6	B	OK	SHAWNEE	110	BRIDGES ESOP INC
2946	RAE ANN GENEVA	3.7%	82.6	C	OH	GENEVA	76	RA OPCO LLC
2947	MAPLE HILLS SKILLED NURSING & REHABILITATION	3.7%	82.5	B	OH	MCARTHUR	42	LIONSTONE ALS OPCO HOLDINGS LLC
2948	The Villa at Traverse Point	3.7%	82.5	C	MI	Traverse City	96	OMNIA OPCO HOLDINGS LLC
2949	PLEASANT VIEW CENTER	3.7%	82.5	C	NH	CONCORD	176	PERIGROVE 1014 LLC
2950	NHC HEALTHCARE, MARYLAND HEIGHTS	3.7%	82.5	B	MO	MARYLAND HEIGHTS	220	NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORPORATION

Showing 2,901–2,950 of 16,900 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.