Ownership-change pipeline

CHOW Radar

p(change of ownership, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

16,900

active SNFs, scored

Model

p_chow_12m v0.1

deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

49.6%

of actual next-12m sales on holdout

Base rate

2.4%

observed 12m CHOW rate, training panels

Ranked by sale probability

551–600

#	Facility	p(CHOW 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
551	BRICKYARD HEALTHCARE - BROOKVIEW CARE CENTER	8.7%	96.8	D	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	136	HENDRICKS COUNTY HOSPITAL
552	Jena Nursing and Rehabilitation Center, LLC	8.7%	96.7	C	LA	JENA	108	NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO CHILDREN
553	Premier Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	8.7%	96.7	C	NC	Jacksonville	239	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
554	HELIA SOUTHBELT HEALTHCARE	8.7%	96.7	F	IL	BELLEVILLE	156	BRIDGEMARK HEALTHCARE LLC
555	HARCOURT TERRACE NURSING AND REHABILITATION	8.7%	96.7	B	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	100	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
556	Brookdale Lakeway SNF	8.7%	96.7	C	TX	Lakeway	98	BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC
557	LIFE CARE CENTER OF OLD HICKORY VILLAGE	8.7%	96.7	C	TN	OLD HICKORY	124	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
558	AVIR AT STEPHENVILLE	8.7%	96.7	C	TX	STEPHENVILLE	0	STEPHENS MEMORIAL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
559	PRESCOTT NURSING AND REHAB COMMUNITY	8.6%	96.7	D	WI	PRESCOTT	65	ATRIUM CENTERS MANAGEMENT LLC
560	Harbor Terrace Senior Living	8.6%	96.7	A	MI	Muskegon	58	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
561	HEART OF THE OZARKS HEALTHCARE CENTER	8.6%	96.7	B	MO	AVA	120	SOVEREIGN HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
562	Crestway Nursing & Rehabilitation	8.6%	96.7	D	TX	SAN ANTONIO	0	FRIO HOSPITAL DISTRICT
563	THE HEALTHCARE RESORT OF LEAWOOD - IRON HORSE HLTH	8.6%	96.7	D	KS	LEAWOOD	70	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
564	HILL CREST MANOR	8.6%	96.7	C	MO	HAMILTON	90	SOVEREIGN HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
565	Beatrice Health and Rehabilitaion	8.6%	96.7	B	NE	Beatrice	87	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
566	Pavilion at Glacier Valley	8.6%	96.7	C	WI	Slinger	106	HUNT VALLEY HOLDINGS LLC
567	CORNING THERAPY AND LIVING CENTER	8.6%	96.7	C	AR	CORNING	84	EAGLE HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
568	Chariton Specialty Care	8.6%	96.6	C	IA	Chariton	60	CARE INITIATIVES
569	MILLER'S MERRY MANOR	8.6%	96.6	C	IN	PLYMOUTH	131	JOHNSON MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
570	Bywood East Health Care	8.6%	96.6	D	MN	MINNEAPOLIS	96	—
571	Pine Ridge Health and Rehabilitation Center	8.6%	96.6	A	NC	Thomasville	140	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
572	HERITAGE COURT POST ACUTE OF SCOTTSDALE	8.6%	96.6	B	AZ	SCOTTSDALE	108	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
573	Carrollton Crossing of Journey LLC	8.6%	96.6	D	GA	CARROLLTON	159	CYPRESS OPERATING LLC
574	GREAT PLAINS POST ACUTE	8.6%	96.6	C	KS	WICHITA	118	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
575	WATERS OF HOBART SKILLED NURSING FACILITY, THE	8.5%	96.6	F	IN	HOBART	110	JOHNSON MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
576	Roberta Trails of Journey LLC	8.5%	96.6	B	GA	ROBERTA	100	BARRES LLC
577	FOLKSTON PARK CARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	8.5%	96.6	C	GA	FOLKSTON	92	BEACON HEALTH MANAGEMENT LLC
578	REGENCY CARE OF ROGUE VALLEY	8.5%	96.6	A	OR	GRANTS PASS	102	REGENCY PACIFIC MANAGEMENT LLC
579	Willow Creek Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	8.5%	96.6	C	NC	Goldsboro	200	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
580	Maple Grove Health and Rehabilitation Center	8.5%	96.6	C	NC	Greensboro	210	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
581	CRESTPARK FORREST CITY, LLC	8.5%	96.6	B	AR	FORREST CITY	100	BELEW LLC
582	PruittHealth-Rockingham	8.5%	96.6	B	NC	Rockingham	120	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
583	WALDON HEALTH CARE CENTER	8.5%	96.6	C	LA	KENNER	205	INSPIRED HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
584	GARDENS AT STEVENS, THE	8.5%	96.5	D	PA	STEVENS	82	PHILIPSON FAMILY LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY LLC
585	SPRING CITY CARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	8.4%	96.5	C	TN	SPRING CITY	138	WHEATEN LLC
586	Anchorage Rehabilitation and Wellness Center	8.4%	96.5	D	MD	SALISBURY	126	RRW LLC
587	COTTONWOOD CREEK SKILLED NURSING & THERAPY	8.4%	96.5	B	OK	CHICKASHA	120	BRIDGES ESOP INC
588	PRUITTHEALTH - GREENVILLE	8.4%	96.5	B	GA	GREENVILLE	113	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
589	Accura Healthcare of Marshalltown	8.4%	96.5	C	IA	Marshalltown	84	AMERICAN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
590	TREVISO TRANSITIONAL CARE	8.4%	96.5	D	TX	LONGVIEW	0	WINNIE STOWELL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
591	Somerset Subacute and Care	8.4%	96.5	D	CA	EL CAJON	65	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
592	LEAKESVILLE REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER, INC	8.4%	96.5	A	MS	LEAKESVILLE	60	CORPORATE MANAGEMENT INC
593	PUXICO NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	8.4%	96.5	B	MO	PUXICO	60	SOVEREIGN HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
594	Life Care Center of Hilton Head	8.4%	96.5	D	SC	Hilton Head Island	88	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
595	CRESTPARK WYNNE, LLC	8.4%	96.5	A	AR	WYNNE	100	BELEW LLC
596	Farmerville Nursing and Rehabilitation Center, LLC	8.4%	96.5	C	LA	Farmerville	117	NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO CHILDREN
597	PUEBLO SPRINGS REHABILITATION CENTER	8.4%	96.5	B	AZ	TUCSON	129	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
598	PEARLVIEW REHAB & WELLNESS CTR	8.4%	96.5	A	OH	BRUNSWICK	68	GOLDSTAR CAPITAL PARTNERS LLC
599	HOPKINS CENTER	8.4%	96.5	C	PA	WYNCOTE	106	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
600	Red Oak Rehab and Care Center	8.4%	96.5	B	IA	Red Oak	58	LANTIS ENTERPRISES INC

Showing 551–600 of 16,900 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.