Ownership-change pipeline

CHOW Radar

p(change of ownership, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

16,900

active SNFs, scored

Model

p_chow_12m v0.1

deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

49.6%

of actual next-12m sales on holdout

Base rate

2.4%

observed 12m CHOW rate, training panels

Ranked by sale probability

2,751–2,800

#	Facility	p(CHOW 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
2751	Magnolia Manor - Rock Hill	3.9%	83.7	B	SC	Rock Hill	106	HUNT VALLEY HOLDINGS LLC
2752	TOUCHPOINTS AT CHESTNUT	3.9%	83.7	B	CT	EAST WINDSOR	60	GLOBAL WORLD INVESTORS
2753	PROFESSIONAL POST ACUTE CENTER	3.9%	83.7	D	CA	SAN RAFAEL	99	WHEATEN LLC
2754	LIFE CARE CENTER OF SOUTH LAS VEGAS	3.9%	83.7	B	NV	LAS VEGAS	120	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
2755	Chateau Terrebonne Health Care Center	3.9%	83.7	A	LA	HOUMA	197	PRIORITY MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
2756	MORRISON WOODS HEALTH CAMPUS	3.9%	83.7	B	IN	MUNCIE	68	HANCOCK REGIONAL HOSPITAL
2757	BRENTWOOD REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CTR (THE)	3.9%	83.7	B	MA	DANVERS	159	NFR 2020 IRRV TR
2758	VILLAGES AT HISTORIC SILVERCREST THE	3.9%	83.7	C	IN	NEW ALBANY	56	WITHAM MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
2759	LAKES OF SYLVANIA, THE	3.9%	83.7	C	OH	SYLVANIA	62	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
2760	RIVER GLEN HEALTH CARE CENTER	3.9%	83.7	B	CT	SOUTHBURY	120	HEALTHBRIDGE MANAGEMENT LLC
2761	Valley Falls Terrace	3.9%	83.7	A	SC	Spartanburg	88	HUNT VALLEY HOLDINGS LLC
2762	RAYBURN HEALTH CARE & REHABILITATION	3.9%	83.6	B	TX	JASPER	0	—
2763	Willowbrook Manor	3.9%	83.6	B	MI	Flint	130	MOHAMMAD A QAZI LIVING TRUST DATED 09 26 97
2764	WOODED GLEN	3.9%	83.6	C	OH	SPRINGFIELD	54	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
2765	APERION CARE TOLLESTON PARK	3.9%	83.6	D	IN	GARY	178	—
2766	LANDMARK NURSING & REHABILITATION CTR OF WEST MON	3.9%	83.6	C	LA	WEST MONROE	140	CENTRAL MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC
2767	ABERCORN REHABILITATION CENTER	3.9%	83.6	C	GA	SAVANNAH	100	SOUTHERN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT LLC
2768	CYPRESS POINT-SKILLED NURSING BY AMERICARE	3.9%	83.6	A	MO	DEXTER	79	AMERICARE SYSTEMS INC
2769	Summerstone Health and Rehabilitation Center	3.9%	83.6	C	NC	Kernersville	138	LIBERTY HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
2770	WOODSIDE VILLAGE CARE CENTER	3.9%	83.6	B	OH	MOUNT GILEAD	75	ATRIUM CENTERS MANAGEMENT LLC
2771	GLOUCESTER HEALTHCARE	3.9%	83.6	F	MA	GLOUCESTER	101	—
2772	WATSONVILLE NURSING CENTER	3.9%	83.6	B	CA	WATSONVILLE	87	WIN WIN ENTERPRISES LLC
2773	VERANDA GARDENS NURSING & REHABILITATION CENTER	3.9%	83.6	C	OH	CINCINNATI	99	FOUNDATIONS HEALTH LLC
2774	NORTH DADE NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	3.9%	83.6	C	FL	NORTH MIAMI	245	PHILIPSON FAMILY LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY LLC
2775	Hartland Park Health & Rehabilitation	3.9%	83.6	C	KY	Lexington	150	B&Y TRUST
2776	ENVIVE OF BEECH GROVE	3.9%	83.6	A	IN	BEECH GROVE	52	ADAMS COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
2777	CRESTPARK MARIANNA, L L C	3.9%	83.6	B	AR	MARIANNA	80	BELEW LLC
2778	Signature Healthcare at North Hardin Rehab & Welln	3.9%	83.6	C	KY	Radcliff	136	WHEATEN LLC
2779	Clinton County Care and Rehabilitation Center	3.9%	83.6	B	KY	Albany	52	WHEATEN LLC
2780	Pioneer Valley Living And Rehab	3.9%	83.5	D	IA	Sergeant Bluff	66	—
2781	MOUNTAIN VIEW REHABILITATION AND CARE CENTER	3.9%	83.5	B	WA	MARYSVILLE	82	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
2782	Accura Healthcare of Pleasantville, LLC	3.9%	83.5	D	IA	Pleasantville	46	AMERICAN HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT SERVICES LLC
2783	Medilodge of Okemos	3.9%	83.5	A	MI	Okemos	100	B&Y TRUST
2784	Lakewood A Continuing Care Center	3.9%	83.5	A	ME	WATERVILLE	105	—
2785	FAYETTEVILLE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	3.9%	83.5	A	AR	FAYETTEVILLE	140	JAMES NORMAN ESTES JR TR
2786	CHELSEA REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	3.9%	83.5	B	VA	GOOCHLAND	84	NFR 2020 IRRV TR
2787	RIDGEVIEW SKILLED NURSING FACILITY	3.9%	83.5	B	CA	SAN DIEGO	45	SPIEKER CLC LLC
2788	Autumnwood of Deckerville	3.9%	83.5	C	MI	Deckerville	84	MOHAMMAD A QAZI LIVING TRUST DATED 09 26 97
2789	RIVER VIEW ON THE APPOMATTOX HEALTH & REHAB CENTER	3.9%	83.5	B	VA	HOPEWELL	124	DJ PETRINE LLC
2790	RENNES HEALTH AND REHAB CENTER-RHINELANDER	3.9%	83.5	C	WI	RHINELANDER	122	—
2791	Westfield Rehabilitation and Health Center	3.9%	83.5	D	MA	WESTFIELD	80	SUMMATION FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC
2792	COMPLETE CARE AT GREEN ACRES	3.9%	83.5	B	NJ	TOMS RIVER	167	EEF CAPITAL LLC
2793	MANOR AT PERRYSBURG	3.9%	83.4	C	OH	PERRYSBURG	111	HCF INC
2794	PruittHealth- Bamberg	3.9%	83.4	A	SC	Bamberg	88	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
2795	LIFE CARE CENTER OF NEW MARKET	3.9%	83.4	B	VA	NEW MARKET	118	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
2796	Parkview Manor	3.9%	83.4	D	IA	Wellman	62	GST SNF LLC
2797	Ostrander Care And Rehab	3.9%	83.4	A	MN	OSTRANDER	25	SENIOR MANAGEMENT INC
2798	DIXON REHAB & HCC	3.9%	83.4	C	IL	DIXON	97	WALNUT CREEK MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC
2799	NHC HEALTHCARE, ANNISTON	3.9%	83.4	B	AL	ANNISTON	151	NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORPORATION
2800	NEW EASTWOOD HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	3.9%	83.4	A	PA	EASTON	97	NFR 2020 IRRV TR

Showing 2,751–2,800 of 16,900 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.