Ownership-change pipeline

CHOW Radar

p(change of ownership, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

16,900

active SNFs, scored

Model

p_chow_12m v0.1

deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

49.6%

of actual next-12m sales on holdout

Base rate

2.4%

observed 12m CHOW rate, training panels

Ranked by sale probability

6,751–6,800

#	Facility	p(CHOW 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
6751	Signature Healthcare At Tanbark Rehab & Wellness Center	1.0%	60.0	D	KY	Lexington	34	—
6752	KABUL NURSING HOMES INC	1.0%	60.0	B	MO	CABOOL	99	—
6753	ORLANDO HEALTH CENTER FOR REHABILITATION	1.0%	60.0	B	FL	OCOEE	10	ORLANDO HEALTH INC
6754	VERMILLION CONVALESCENT CENTER	1.0%	60.0	C	IN	CLINTON	100	WITHAM MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
6755	MIDDLESEX HEALTH CARE CENTER	1.0%	60.0	D	CT	MIDDLETOWN	150	—
6756	INTERFAITH CARE CENTER	1.0%	60.0	C	MN	CARLTON	96	PARTNERS SENIOR LIVING OPTIONS LLC
6757	BUCKNER VILLA SIESTA HOME	1.0%	60.0	D	TX	AUSTIN	76	—
6758	OAKS HEALTH CTR AT THE MARSHES OF SKIDAWAY ISLAND	1.0%	60.0	A	GA	SAVANNAH	23	LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
6759	Woodbury Wellness Center Inc	1.0%	60.0	A	NC	Hampstead	112	—
6760	CORONA REGIONAL MEDICAL CENTER D/P SNF	1.0%	60.0	A	CA	CORONA	61	UHS OF DELAWARE INC
6761	HERITAGE INN HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	1.0%	60.0	C	GA	STATESBORO	92	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
6762	Imperial Manor Nursing Home	1.0%	59.9	C	NE	Imperial	58	—
6763	GOOD SAMARITAN SOCIETY HOWARD	1.0%	59.9	A	SD	HOWARD	45	SANFORD
6764	Good Samaritan - Indianola	1.0%	59.9	F	IA	Indianola	105	SANFORD
6765	BENSONHURST CENTER FOR REHAB AND HEALTHCARE	1.0%	59.9	A	NY	BROOKLYN	200	—
6766	EDGERTON CARE CENTER, INC	1.0%	59.9	B	WI	EDGERTON	61	CARRIAGE HEALTHCARE COMPANIES INC
6767	TERRACE OF JACKSONVILLE, THE	1.0%	59.9	A	FL	JACKSONVILLE	180	—
6768	MONROE CARE CENTER	1.0%	59.9	C	IA	ALBIA	60	—
6769	SOURIS VALLEY CARE CENTER	1.0%	59.9	D	ND	VELVA	46	THE EVANGELICAL LUTHERAN GOOD SAMARITAN SOCIETY
6770	FOUNTAIN MANOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION CENTER	1.0%	59.9	A	FL	NORTH MIAMI	139	—
6771	KESWICK MULTI-CARE CENTER	1.0%	59.9	A	MD	BALTIMORE	242	UNIDINE CORPORATION
6772	CENTRAL PARK REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	1.0%	59.9	B	NY	SYRACUSE	160	—
6773	SWEET SPRINGS VILLA	1.0%	59.9	F	MO	SWEET SPRINGS	120	—
6774	WATERS OF RISING SUN, THE	1.0%	59.9	B	IN	RISING SUN	58	MAJOR HOSPITAL
6775	Westminster Health & Rehab Center	1.0%	59.9	A	SC	Rock Hill	11	—
6776	BETHEL MANOR	1.0%	59.9	B	IN	EVANSVILLE	75	HENRY COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
6777	WILLOWS OF GREENSBURG	1.0%	59.9	B	IN	GREENSBURG	100	MAJOR HOSPITAL
6778	MERCYONE OELWEIN SENIOR CARE	1.0%	59.9	—	IA	OELWEIN	39	—
6779	ROGUE VALLEY MANOR	1.0%	59.8	A	OR	MEDFORD	68	PACIFIC RETIREMENT SERVICES INC
6780	Good Samaritan - Fontanelle	1.0%	59.8	F	IA	FONTANELLE	46	—
6781	BRANDEL MANOR	1.0%	59.8	C	CA	TURLOCK	145	—
6782	BLOOMFIELD HEALTHCARE AND REHAB CENTER	1.0%	59.8	B	WI	DODGEVILLE	50	—
6783	The Springs at the Fountains	1.0%	59.8	B	MI	Kalamazoo	38	—
6784	Litzenberg Memorial County Hospital	1.0%	59.8	B	NE	Central City	46	THE EVANGELICAL LUTHERAN GOOD SAMARITAN SOCIETY
6785	FULTON COMMONS CARE CENTER INC	1.0%	59.8	B	NY	EAST MEADOW	280	—
6786	WINDSOR NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER OF SEGUI	1.0%	59.8	B	TX	SEGUIN	0	REGENCY INTEGRATED HEALTH SERVICES LLC
6787	COMMUNITY CARE CENTER	1.0%	59.8	—	OH	ALLIANCE	55	—
6788	Maluhia	1.0%	59.8	B	HI	Honolulu	158	HAWAII HEALTH SYSTEMS CORPORATION
6789	ST CATHERINES LIVING CENTER	1.0%	59.8	C	ND	WAHPETON	49	BENEDICTINE HEALTH SYSTEM
6790	FORT MYERS REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	1.0%	59.8	A	FL	FORT MYERS	120	—
6791	Good Samaritan Society - Pine River	1.0%	59.8	B	MN	PINE RIVER	33	SANFORD
6792	The Citadel at Saint Anne Place	1.0%	59.8	D	IL	ROCKFORD	179	ASCENSION HEALTH SENIOR CARE
6793	GRAND PARK CONVALESCENT HOSPITAL	1.0%	59.8	B	CA	LOS ANGELES	151	—
6794	MULTY MEDICAL SKILLED NURSING FACILITY	0.9%	59.7	B	PR	RIO PIEDRAS	35	—
6795	Casa Dorinda	0.9%	59.7	B	CA	Santa Barbara	52	—
6796	Rockingham County Nursing Home	0.9%	59.7	B	NH	BRENTWOOD	226	—
6797	TOLSTOY FOUNDATION REHABILITATION AND NRSG CENTER	0.9%	59.7	C	NY	VALLEY COTTAGE	96	—
6798	HIGHLAND HEALTHCARE & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.9%	59.7	F	KS	HIGHLAND	44	—
6799	TIFFIN REHABILITATION CENTER	0.9%	59.7	D	OH	TIFFIN	20	—
6800	GOOD SAMARITAN SOCIETY - LIBERAL	0.9%	59.7	F	KS	LIBERAL	45	SANFORD

Showing 6,751–6,800 of 16,900 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.